A “Hidden” Bear Market Is Brewing

“In 2000, the ratio of market cap to GDP for the Wilshire 5000 (a good proxy for the US stock market) reached 153%.  This didn’t stop investors pouring money into US stocks… which went on to deliver a negative total return over the next 10 years.  Fast-forward to today, and the ratio of market cap to GDP for the Wilshire 5000 stands at 125%. That’s not as high as at the peak of the dot-com bubble. But it’s higher than at the 2007 peak of the recent credit bubble.  And it’s more than two standard deviations above the average – a measure legendary contrarian fund manager Jeremy Grantham uses to pinpoint a bubble.”

http://bonnerandpartners.com/hidden-bear-market-brewing/

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